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6. 05. 2025

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ATP Masters in Rome

Top 5 Tennis Bets for May 8, 2025: Best Value Picks in Rome Masters Action

As the ATP Masters in Rome heats up on clay, May 8 promises some thrilling matchups with great betting opportunities. We've analyzed form, surface performance, and odds to present five smart bets for the day—with rationale rooted in stats and recent trends.

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Matteo Arnaldi vs. Roberto Bautista-Agut

Bet: Bautista-Agut to Win at 3.65

Why: While Arnaldi is a rising star, Bautista-Agut has a long-standing clay pedigree and the odds offer immense value. He’s won 65% of clay matches over his career and thrives in longer rallies, a key on slow surfaces.

Marco Bellucci vs. Pedro Martinez

Bet: Martinez to Win at 1.68

Why: Martinez is an experienced clay-courter and has outperformed Bellucci in baseline consistency and service games. Bellucci struggles against top-100 opponents on clay.

Alexander Bublik vs. Roman Safiullin

Bet: Safiullin to Win at 2.10

Why: Bublik often underperforms on clay, a surface he’s openly admitted disliking. Safiullin's baseline defense and stamina give him an edge in extended rallies.

Hugo Gaston vs. Lloyd Harris

Bet: Harris to Win at 1.54

Why: While Gaston has flair, Harris has been consistently outperforming him in recent months and possesses a more reliable serve—an asset even on clay.

Fabian Marozsan vs. Joao Fonseca

Bet: Fonseca to Win at 1.43

Why: Fonseca has won 4 of his last 5 clay matches and shows high first-serve effectiveness. Marozsan, despite a strong showing earlier in the season, has faltered recently on the slower surface.

Conclusion: Use Insight, Not Instinct

In a sport where momentum and surface mastery matter, betting smart is all about knowing player tendencies. These five picks bring a balance of value and probability—making them ideal for strategic bets on May 8.

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